A Mini Med Holiday

Just got back from a mini-holiday where some friends and I went on a sailing trip starting in Malta and ending in Siracusa in Sicily.  Here’s what I learned:

  • Malta is a beautiful place that oozes history.  It’s where the famous Knights of St. John were based.  They defended the island against the Turks during the siege of 1565 and founded Valetta, the capital afterwards.

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  • It was a British colony through 1964.  The British influence can be seen from the postboxes to the fact that they drive on the left hand side of the road. 
  • Surprisingly for a place just 50 miles from Italy, the food in Malta left much to be desired.  We think this may also have been part of the British influence. 
  • I am not a sailor.  I got seasick the night that we sailed to Sicily.  Our captain commented that had he gone to bed that night, he’d have slept until about noon.  But it was really cool to drive the boat during our little day sail!
  • The food in Sicily was great.  We had some great meals including perhaps the best pasta I’ve ever had — casarecce with mushrooms, shrimp and almonds — an unlikely combo but it was magical.
  • Ortygia is the ancient part of Siracusa and has these narrow, atmospheric streets with balconies on top.  Very cool.

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  • There were no touts, guides or hustlers in either place.  What a relief!

Congrats Maria, Etsy & Union Square Ventures

Fred just announced Etsy’s new COO, Maria Thomas, a friend of mine.  I met Maria at NPR where she headed up their online efforts.  She is a dynamo and I have no doubt she’ll take Etsy to the next level.  Way to go Fred & Etsy and good luck Maria!

Mobile Web Dead?? Not So Fast…

Russell Beattie of Mowser decided to throw in the towel after concluding that the Mobile Web is dead.  Justin Siegel of Mocospace (a mobile social network whose Advisory Board I’m on), begs to differ.  Obviously we’re biased, but tt’s a good read.  Some choice passages:

  • Still, I’m surprised by how jaded his view of the mobile Internet is
    given the early success of many companies he’s familiar with such as Admob, Getjar, MyWaves, Radar, yours truly (MocoSpace).  Each of these sites are  generating 10’s of millions, and in MocoSpace’s case over 1 billion
    page views per month off of a unique audience in the low millions.
    Those numbers may not stack up well to the Web…yet, but the trend
    certainly appears to be our friend.
  • People will expect, and they will get different content, formats,
    features, etc. for different devices.  Unless you expect the wired Web
    to stop improving and taking advantage of the horsepower that desktops
    and flatpanels deliver, I don’t get how someone could ever think there
    will be a unified Internet experience across such a range of
    capabilities. In my opinion, the bottom line is that people are and
    will continue to develop new sites, services, applications, etc.
    specifically for mobile devices, and they will be different than those
    browsed on machines with 5-10x larger screens and orders of magnitude
    more power and bandwith.  Just as Walmart had to build a website as a
    distinct experience from its bricks and mortar experience, it will
    build a mobile site.
  • For Russell and all fellow entrepreneurs, I end with one of my favorite quotes from Theodore Roosevelt:
    • It is not the critic who
      counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or
      where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs
      to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust
      and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly; who errs and comes short
      again and again; because there is not effort without error and
      shortcomings; but who does actually strive to do the deed; who knows
      the great enthusiasm, the great devotion, who spends himself in a
      worthy cause, who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high
      achievement and who at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while
      daring greatly. So that his place shall never be with those cold and
      timid souls who know neither victory nor defeat.

 

Size of Social Network “Industry”

I was having a drink with a well known digital media executive this evening and the topic turned to, what else, social networks.  The question was how big of an industry is social networking?  I’m talking about the ‘pure’ social networks such as MySpace, Facebook, Bebo, Hi5, Tagged, LinkedIn, etc.  What would the aggregate revenues be of these sites?  Our guess was low single digit billions of dollars a year, if that, with the top few generating most of the revenues.

English Professional Football

Following English professional football is a lot of fun.  It is much different than professional sports in the U.S., which are on the franchise model.  Here’s what I like:

  1. Every game counts.  There are no playoffs to win the Premier League.  The team that has the most points at the end of the season wins the League. 
  2. There is action up and down the league table.  For instance, there is a battle for 4th place since the top 4 teams get a place in the Champions League tournament.  And there is a battle for 2nd since the top two teams bypass the group qualifying stages of the tournament.  5th place automatically qualifies for the less prestigious UEFA Cup. 
  3. Even more exciting is that the bottom 3 teams in the Premier League get relegated to the lower league, whereas 3 teams from that league get promoted.  That would be un-heard of in the franchise model.  Relegation out of the Premier league can be devastating for a club both financially and in prestige, and so it can make games by bottom-ranked teams just as exciting to follow.
  4. Nothing is guaranteed.  A club’s fortunes can rise and fall.  For instance, there are clubs that used to be great in the 80s and 90s, like Leeds United or Nottingham Forrest, that aren’t even in the top division.   
  5. The FA Cup.  It’s a tournament for UK clubs with hundreds entering.  It’s like the NCAA tournament, full of upsets.  This year, Barnsley, who are fighting for relegation in the Football League Championship (2nd to the Premier League), beat both Chelsea and Liverpool to reach the semis.

Mobile TV Stalling

That’s the headline from Silicon Alley Insider paraphrasing a Nokia exec.   While he was referring to broadcast mobile TV (via DVB-H) vs. downloaded content, I don’t think mobile video will be a huge market in the next 5 years and am skeptical that mobile video will be more than a niche application.  Why?  Well, leaving aside the fact that the carrier networks aren’t yet there and so they can’t offer ad-supported video, making the consumer-pays model a hard one to scale; there are only so many use cases for mobile video.  I can think of a few:

  • Video snacking when traveling.  I’d love to watch daily show clips at the airport to pass the time.
  • Sports highlights when out and about.  I was out to dinner the other night and would love to have see the Arsenal/Liverpool highlights instead of having to wait.
  • Clips of my friends that they’d share with me from their mobile
  • Live or quasi-live feeds of weather and traffic conditions

I’ve read how some companies are doing longer-form streaming or they have unrealistic projections on mobile video consumption.  The thing is, when you’re walking down the street, it’s better to watch where you’re going than what’s on the screen!  I get that it’s huge in South Korea, but maybe that’s the exception that proves the rule given carrier network capacity, format standardization and population density.

That’s not to say other rich media applications aren’t viable on mobile.  I’m bullish on mobile audio/music, picture sharing and social networking

Recent Developments In Digital Music

I’ve been slow in posting of late as I’ve been crushed at work and had to deal with moving flats and all of the attendant logistics headaches, not to mention that I haven’t had internet access at home yet.  But there have certainly been some interesting developments in digital music and some quick thoughts on each:

  • Imeem opens up its platform.  This is different because they actually have the content.  It’s what the labels should be doing directly but Imeem is a proxy and, as rumor has it, at least some of the labels get some equity so participate from upside.  The rumors also have it that Imeem’s licensing rate is cost prohibitive.  If true, it will be hard to build a real business.  But it’s good that it’s now become easier to ask permission.
  • EMI hires a head of digital from Google.  Always good to have new blood when you’re industry is experiencing a rapid shift.
  • MySpace Music – a JV with the labels.  More details to come, and something I’ve known about for a while but, again, a good move by the labels to hedge their bets.  Sounds like it will compete directly with Imeem.

Interesting times.

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