Every tech blogger’s favorite parlor game of the moment seems to be weighing in on the ‘is it or isn’t it a bubble?’ question. I may as well join in with a qualified “meh”:
- There seems to be too much funding chasing too few early stage deals leading to the so-called frothy valuations.
- These are also heady days on the recruiting front. This story in the NYT reminded me of those halcyon days of 1999.
- However, clearly it’s a much different game this time around in terms of the secular trends around broadband penetration, user adoption, technology costs and so on. What’s more, I don’t hear locker room attendants talking about stocks or angel investments they’ve made. Yes, there are many more angel investors (including yours truly, slightly), but that is far from a bubble.
- There has been a dearth of tech growth stories on public markets leading to pent-up demand for secondary shares of private companies such as Facebook and Zynga, and appetite for those that do go IPO.
So, in short, there are unrealistic expectations within a pocket of the overall market. People will lose out and get hurt. But, on balance, it won’t be nearly as painful as it was ‘back then’. Meh.